NHL · resolved market
SHL: HV 71 vs. Linkoeping
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb19bb51c77b9628315e33d68cd7667c37464608e69e47727d7c6a2ab6087f66e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HV 71of HV 71, Linkoeping
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,825
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Linkoeping | 43c | 482.15$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.25 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Linkoeping | 59c | 400$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.43 | 224 | 43.3%97 W · 127 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40da…0b85backed HV 71 | 57c | 349.13$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +5.9wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed HV 71 | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed HV 71 | 56c | 175.12$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.7 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked HV 71 | 40c | 140$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8046…a845backed Linkoeping | 43c | 130.12$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f2c…ac5ebacked HV 71 | 55c | 123$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.35 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HV 71 | 56c | 110.14$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 315 | 40.3%127 W · 188 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked HV 71 | 51c | 90$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.1 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked HV 71 | 57c | 89.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed HV 71 | 62c | 88$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.59 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed HV 71 | 45c | 84.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.54 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…6337backed Linkoeping | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06f4…758dbacked HV 71 | 55c | 72$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Linkoeping | 43c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf572…065abacked HV 71 | 61c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.11 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed HV 71 | 54c | 47.18$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…ecf3backed HV 71 | 55c | 43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.35 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed HV 71 | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 421 | 44.4%187 W · 234 L | -28.0wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Linkoeping | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56d2…e5f5backed Linkoeping | 45c | 38$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…d4f2backed HV 71 | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 79 | 45.6%36 W · 43 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf9…142bbacked Linkoeping | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Linkoeping | 45c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed Linkoeping | 45c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 49cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.