Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tauste: Diana Marcinkevica vs Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb19cbab698bf4e9abfbc69bcd39b5d777fcef08c7e316d6991d7443a6acbd754
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Diana Marcinkevicaof Diana Marcinkevica, Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,382
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,912
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,382 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Diana Marcinkevica | 56c | 2,755$1,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.57 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | 46c | 1,495$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.71 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3054…055bbacked Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | 46c | 380.43$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed Diana Marcinkevica | 63c | 221.16$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.83 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | 47c | 161.78$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | 35c | 135.69$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.06 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a9e…a24bbacked Diana Marcinkevica | 52c | 111.11$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…d0ffbacked Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | 29c | 108.8$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.82 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Diana Marcinkevica | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.05 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Diana Marcinkevica | 63c | 100$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | 16c | 85.64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.54 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | 48c | 47.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f15…bdb3backed Jimar Geraldine Gerald Gonzalez | 48c | 20.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 1,149 | 41.3%474 W · 675 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Diana Marcinkevica | 64c | 16.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.