CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Journey Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1b8ce1400115560126fb9f772e07ac0c6fa1c4da846cb59f2604fd8d8fdd79c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,822 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33c6…6daabacked Johnny Speeds | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Johnny Speeds | 12c | 1,439$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.68 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Johnny Speeds | 1c | 1,076$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.31 | 169 | 35.5%60 W · 109 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…3b75backed Johnny Speeds | 35c | 238.9$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.06 | 183 | 42.1%77 W · 106 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9def…6eacbacked M80 | 63c | 205.64$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.05 | 203 | 58.1%118 W · 85 L | +22.4wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +25%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Johnny Speeds | 38c | 197.24$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | -11.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd277…73febacked M80 | 64c | 190.63$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 69 | 68.1%47 W · 22 L | +7.1wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Johnny Speeds | 27c | 145.56$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Johnny Speeds | 11c | 145.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked Johnny Speeds | 9c | 113.88$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed M80 | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed M80 | 73c | 18.91$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Journey Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)M80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.