CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x582898ccdb474c601fd25fdf8f7d873ed5fb51fd8150d79b86631fe8ffb87c86
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- M80of M80, Johnny Speeds
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,725
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,725 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb04b…e2d4backed Johnny Speeds | 44c | 3,240$1,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,425.96 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +9.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Johnny Speeds | 55c | 2,700$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,484.99 | 750 | 56.8%426 W · 324 L | +47.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed M80 | 45c | 2,289$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.52 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9919…f261backed M80 | 51c | 1,088$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$534.57 | 418 | 47.1%197 W · 221 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbb…39dabacked M80 | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7add…7a7bbacked M80 | 54c | 740$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.72 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6326…6329backed M80 | 57c | 377.19$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.19 | 593 | 43.2%256 W · 337 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9b…cbe5backed M80 | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 442 | 44.1%195 W · 247 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed M80 | 45c | 269$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.81 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b8…50d8backed M80 | 45c | 264.96$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.73 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…2877backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 213.2$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.92 | 648 | 54.3%352 W · 296 L | +25.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40cd…f932backed Johnny Speeds | 46c | 199.86$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.9 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf13…ed3dbacked M80 | 73c | 172.9$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.86 | 86 | 33.7%29 W · 57 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed M80 | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed M80 | 41c | 140.14$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.46 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62c…a3c1backed Johnny Speeds | 55c | 112.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7307…7d23backed Johnny Speeds | 58c | 99.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.24 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49ec…ac1cbacked Johnny Speeds | 57c | 76.99$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 95 | 38.9%37 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed M80 | 40c | 73.06$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf0…b95dbacked Johnny Speeds | 63c | 72.72$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.81 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ed…a4cbbacked M80 | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 260 | 48.8%127 W · 133 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0c…3ccebacked M80 | 37c | 54.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 416 | 40.6%169 W · 247 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd711…749cbacked Johnny Speeds | 55c | 43.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.81 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c8…424fbacked Johnny Speeds | 56c | 42.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.78 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x171f…d613backed Johnny Speeds | 57c | 41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed M80 | 57c | 27.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 432 | 39.1%169 W · 263 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Johnny Speeds (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Johnny Speeds (BO3) - Journey Group BM80 won
- Counter-Strike: M80 vs Johnny Speeds - Map 2 WinnerM80 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.