Other European Leagues · resolved market
Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1debca87dc3940593eedb77b52dcc9e05cd2e7b6b9ad1818ed36e981f7fa572
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,135
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,135 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 73c | 1,064$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.45 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 23c | 999.98$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$769.99 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 34c | 556.03$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b84…2f73backed Under | 70c | 259.77$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.08 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 28c | 250$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 132 | 51.5%68 W · 64 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 41c | 249.26$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.26 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1f…eb43backed Over | 51c | 244.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.9 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 79c | 221.57$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Under | 79c | 220.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Under | 79c | 220.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.4 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 68c | 219$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 44c | 209.34$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.87 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 35c | 200.24$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.24 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df5…1e18backed Over | 45c | 128.89$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.89 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d6…fa72backed Over | 34c | 110.06$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed Over | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 73c | 100$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Under | 48c | 78.74$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea03…a5a3backed Over | 24c | 58.33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +111%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0dca…a234backed Over | 41c | 49.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.21 | 51 | 23.5%12 W · 39 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 40.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 38c | 40.66$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.21 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd945…fbd1backed Under | 51c | 35.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +181%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked Under | 75c | 33.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 191 | 56.5%108 W · 83 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 43c | 31.47$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.81 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -9.6wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9549…d3cbbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked Under | 76c | 23.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 62c | 21.69$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…5df3backed Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 194 | 41.8%81 W · 113 L | -13.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 1.5this page
- Randers FC vs. FC København: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 2.5Over won
- Randers FC vs. FC København: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Randers FC (-1.5)FC København won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.