Euroleague · resolved market
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shanxi Loongs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2316c772be97af7df958c47b7f413531b9614dd763e1aa3717ac8c8fba04c39
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanxi Loongsof Xinjiang Flying Tigers, Shanxi Loongs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,927
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,162
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,927 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 33c | 1,187$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.66 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 8c | 981.39$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.27 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 31c | 569.99$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.71 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 6c | 491.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 86 | 11.6%10 W · 76 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf29…834cbacked Shanxi Loongs | 68c | 457.05$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.43 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x181f…6800backed Shanxi Loongs | 70c | 280.57$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.17 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Shanxi Loongs | 71c | 277.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Shanxi Loongs | 73c | 241.04$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.24 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Shanxi Loongs | 70c | 207.92$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.29 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 30c | 180.71$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Shanxi Loongs | 67c | 170.8$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.14 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Shanxi Loongs | 64c | 86.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.11 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Shanxi Loongs | 60c | 80$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60da…a14ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60a5…f52ebacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 45c | 64.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 34c | 59$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 25c | 53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers | 39c | 49.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371e…0f81backed Shanxi Loongs | 70c | 42.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Shanxi Loongs | 60c | 33.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.34 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…50c8backed Shanxi Loongs | 64c | 30.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.