CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb29c60a771d12657b2a5e14c9ef2ba44d58f39ba4d0b8fd22a82e12ed2ea2f22
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,384
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,384 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 46c | 719.92$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.7 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x582a…ae39backed The Last Resort | 60c | 488.4$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.79 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 61c | 291.74$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.72 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9037…0386backed The Last Resort | 29c | 221.36$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.58 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -8.2wins | -0.26per pick | 41cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Johnny Speeds | 43c | 205.96$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.24 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed The Last Resort | 53c | 182.95$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked The Last Resort | 47c | 116.67$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed The Last Resort | 62c | 97.72$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed The Last Resort | 30c | 87.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…ea47backed The Last Resort | 19c | 86.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked The Last Resort | 59c | 84.74$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed The Last Resort | 17c | 72.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed The Last Resort | 17c | 67.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Last Resort | 58c | 66.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Johnny Speeds | 52c | 63.04$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.3 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed Johnny Speeds | 50c | 30.36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.07 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Johnny Speeds | 51c | 19.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs The Last Resort - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs The Last Resort - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.