CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0d31fa2128ca6b2c3aa894ac4d4aec6f8f978a81e7e72073992a215b749cd990
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Johnny Speedsof Johnny Speeds, The Last Resort
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,847
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,831
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,847 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfd14…2267backed The Last Resort | 29c | 1,291$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377.78 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Johnny Speeds | 74c | 1,068$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.02 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Johnny Speeds | 64c | 700.62$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.75 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf76…db81backed Johnny Speeds | 64c | 592.08$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3952…c2b4backed The Last Resort | 35c | 576.6$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.81 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed Johnny Speeds | 66c | 542.53$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.89 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 447.03$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.81 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked The Last Resort | 34c | 392.78$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.95 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16fd…b4d3backed The Last Resort | 38c | 252.22$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.07 | 298 | 40.3%120 W · 178 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked The Last Resort | 26c | 243.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.28 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Johnny Speeds | 78c | 194.88$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 269 | 58.4%157 W · 112 L | +20.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Johnny Speeds | 79c | 189.03$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked The Last Resort | 34c | 127$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed The Last Resort | 48c | 122.07$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.59 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked The Last Resort | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 277 | 54.9%152 W · 125 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed The Last Resort | 16c | 95.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,038 | 39.9%414 W · 624 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed The Last Resort | 38c | 84.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Johnny Speeds | 62c | 80.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.45 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Johnny Speeds | 72c | 79.46$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.61 | 493 | 76.1%375 W · 118 L | +96.8wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x5668…eababacked Johnny Speeds | 68c | 78.84$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.89 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed The Last Resort | 40c | 75.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 333 | 52.6%175 W · 158 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Johnny Speeds | 56c | 71.74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.57 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed The Last Resort | 29c | 65.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 762 | 48.4%369 W · 393 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b4…6313backed The Last Resort | 45c | 54.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed The Last Resort | 19c | 54.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Johnny Speeds | 55c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 387 | 53.2%206 W · 181 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed The Last Resort | 31c | 49.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,109 | 50.5%560 W · 549 L | -3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa74a…4893backed The Last Resort | 42c | 48.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 1,216 | 40.1%488 W · 728 L | -65.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked The Last Resort | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa6…03ebbacked The Last Resort | 43c | 38.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.61 | 956 | 42.6%407 W · 549 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Johnny Speeds | 68c | 28.66$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 336 | 57.1%192 W · 144 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…2a2dbacked Johnny Speeds | 80c | 24.7$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e7…3a85backed Johnny Speeds | 66c | 23.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -24%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7d…6af8backed Johnny Speeds | 60c | 22.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.6wins | -0.17per pick | 55cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc80…77b4backed Johnny Speeds | 69c | 19.86$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.14 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Johnny Speeds | 62c | 19.6$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Johnny Speeds | 69c | 14.65$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs The Last Resort (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs The Last Resort - Map 1 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
- Counter-Strike: Johnny Speeds vs The Last Resort - Map 2 WinnerJohnny Speeds won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.