CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Brute (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb2e2cd81948c3f858fa1814afa6b13286a7dd1cb91c455e1037c27c8999a1ce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nexusof Nexus, Brute
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,535
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,535 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Brute | 54c | 1,300$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$701.98 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed Nexus | 57c | 1,222$693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.27 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Brute | 43c | 1,155$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.86 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Brute | 33c | 655.8$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.58 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nexus | 46c | 500$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed Brute | 63c | 414.21$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Nexus | 56c | 386.83$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…3480backed Brute | 56c | 374.05$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 94 | 50%47 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf348…e543backed Nexus | 77c | 354.37$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.57 | 230 | 72.6%167 W · 63 L | +27.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Nexus | 58c | 293.84$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.76 | 498 | 50.2%250 W · 248 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…694fbacked Nexus | 58c | 285.33$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.95 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Nexus | 57c | 203.55$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.17 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Nexus | 49c | 200.31$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.79 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…70e3backed Nexus | 41c | 197.69$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.3 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Nexus | 73c | 186.84$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…f6c5backed Brute | 56c | 180.11$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7373…3964backed Nexus | 64c | 180$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 133 | 53.4%71 W · 62 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Nexus | 46c | 177.18$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.77 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Nexus | 54c | 173$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x292a…d1acbacked Brute | 58c | 172.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4087…048bbacked Nexus | 73c | 143$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.51 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed Brute | 38c | 127$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 274 | 38.3%105 W · 169 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ed…7817backed Brute | 63c | 114.92$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 256 | 35.5%91 W · 165 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…049bbacked Brute | 58c | 102.63$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 104 | 44.2%46 W · 58 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Nexus | 37c | 101.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.13 | 247 | 46.6%115 W · 132 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd385…34fbbacked Nexus | 62c | 101$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.38 | 138 | 52.9%73 W · 65 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed Nexus | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Brute | 64c | 84.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.64 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Nexus | 37c | 79.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 517 | 55.9%289 W · 228 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nexus | 37c | 79.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.31 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Nexus | 50c | 77.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 1,352 | 52%703 W · 649 L | +29.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed Brute | 61c | 65.75$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x20f4…8b5ebacked Brute | 61c | 64.75$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -5.9wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1c…6b60backed Brute | 63c | 63.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf20b…e27dbacked Nexus | 37c | 50.54$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked Nexus | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Nexus | 38c | 39.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.56 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Nexus | 39c | 29.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.29 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Nexus | 41c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.75 | 170 | 38.8%66 W · 104 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3157…7ebdbacked Nexus | 64c | 24.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +72.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Nexus | 44c | 22.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.73 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68c0…c1fbbacked Nexus | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 87 | 65.5%57 W · 30 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb209…b744backed Nexus | 73c | 18.96$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 293 | 40.6%119 W · 174 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Brute (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Brute - Map 1 WinnerNexus won
- Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Brute - Map 2 WinnerNexus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.