Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: University War vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb340725acb006f2b3fe486acaa3f336065fdcacc9cc1a9295db3fc5f7fdf0dcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- University Warof University War, ShindeN
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,096
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,440
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,096 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5501…fe9abacked ShindeN | 47c | 675.58$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.12 | 42 | 31%13 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x753b…5484backed ShindeN | 66c | 610.42$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 65cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed University War | 52c | 423.83$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.99 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed ShindeN | 48c | 351.01$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.86 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked University War | 52c | 345.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.23 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x565a…3207backed ShindeN | 49c | 257.51$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -72.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed University War | 36c | 240.3$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.03 | 97 | 37.1%36 W · 61 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ab…20e9backed ShindeN | 73c | 231.25$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.75 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed University War | 43c | 171.76$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.55 | 264 | 36%95 W · 169 L | -15.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa434…4c66backed University War | 55c | 159.6$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc83f…23e4backed University War | 54c | 134.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed University War | 21c | 120$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.8 | 126 | 33.3%42 W · 84 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…cca4backed University War | 21c | 119.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked University War | 54c | 106.84$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.68 | 86 | 34.9%30 W · 56 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…5379backed ShindeN | 56c | 105.22$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.78 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed University War | 57c | 100.01$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.18 | 140 | 47.9%67 W · 73 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7c7…1efebacked University War | 57c | 85.21$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked ShindeN | 59c | 67.64$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3724…c59abacked University War | 45c | 61.61$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0159…db47backed University War | 48c | 61.25$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.85 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9c04…2c55backed University War | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed ShindeN | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 126 | 56.3%71 W · 55 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed University War | 45c | 39.91$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.95 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43f…3b20backed ShindeN | 41c | 34.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.34per pick | 49cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe275…2450backed University War | 42c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked University War | 41c | 28.09$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.45 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: University War vs ShindeN - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: University War vs ShindeN (BO3) - VCL Latin America South: Regular SeasonUniversity War won
- Valorant: University War vs ShindeN - Map 2 WinnerUniversity War won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.