Lol · resolved market
LoL: Bushido Wildcats vs Los Heretics (BO1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb36c409cc177ab56c5f8702284f68636f14ebd11660ff11bd0f6347d6f68c9c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Los Hereticsof Bushido Wildcats, Los Heretics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bushido Wildcats | 15c | 5,725$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.15 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked Los Heretics | 59c | 2,115$1,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.6 | 87 | 56.3%49 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 1,160$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.3 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 997$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.74 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Los Heretics | 73c | 500$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Los Heretics | 60c | 350$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Los Heretics | 58c | 334.35$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.57 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Bushido Wildcats | 10c | 261$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.06 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 156.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf778…2f09backed Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 138$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.48 | 120 | 42.5%51 W · 69 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Bushido Wildcats | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x894b…e927backed Los Heretics | 62c | 80.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26d…63f2backed Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb64f…03dbbacked Los Heretics | 62c | 40.32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Los Heretics | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.