CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb396eb966e36e3d16d5636e2c658f35e494a6ccb56ef8d470edf449ed0fd9ef6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sharksof Imperial, Sharks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,284
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,284 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Imperial | 12c | 677.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Imperial | 40c | 620$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ac…2a18backed Sharks | 61c | 398.36$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.36 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…f786backed Imperial | 13c | 380.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 131 | 19.8%26 W · 105 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x653e…bbc0backed Sharks | 60c | 336.4$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.56 | 387 | 39.5%153 W · 234 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Imperial | 40c | 283.35$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.85 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Imperial | 43c | 248.56$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.86 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Imperial | 11c | 153.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.47 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Sharks | 60c | 146.85$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.21 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Imperial | 12c | 127.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed Sharks | 57c | 123$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…9c0fbacked Imperial | 40c | 121.8$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.72 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Imperial | 40c | 121.2$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.48 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Sharks | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Sharks | 60c | 110$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ad8…bfaebacked Imperial | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Imperial | 17c | 100.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Imperial | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 700 | 38.9%272 W · 428 L | -29.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74c5…6cb7backed Imperial | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -6.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -39%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Imperial | 15c | 99.92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.85 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Sharks | 60c | 99.82$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.82 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Imperial | 39c | 91.41$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.65 | 349 | 43%150 W · 199 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e9…ec59backed Imperial | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85f8…2cc3backed Sharks | 79c | 80.04$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.81 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Imperial | 39c | 60.6$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.63 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9810…b0debacked Sharks | 59c | 60.22$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.69 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Imperial | 39c | 50.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa20…e7e3backed Imperial | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Imperial | 40c | 45.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed Imperial | 40c | 40.6$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 315 | 32.4%102 W · 213 L | -15.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks (BO3) - Circuit X Pantanal Cuiabá Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Imperial vs Sharks - Map 2 WinnerSharks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.