Tennis · resolved market
Madrid: Henry Bernet vs Alejandro Moro Canas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3e03edd35c93f79dea3cf840f824f47ff27147c097009c1a13d56f1a98a6069
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alejandro Moro Canasof Henry Bernet, Alejandro Moro Canas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,796
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $57,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,796 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Henry Bernet | 13c | 6,734$888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$887.54 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Henry Bernet | 16c | 4,451$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.12 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f2…a822backed Henry Bernet | 35c | 1,091$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.8 | 111 | 58.6%65 W · 46 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…934dbacked Henry Bernet | 7c | 789.93$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.42 | 307 | 15.6%48 W · 259 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Henry Bernet | 4c | 463.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 377 | 41.4%156 W · 221 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Henry Bernet | 16c | 395.46$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.27 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Henry Bernet | 17c | 393.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.85 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Henry Bernet | 17c | 389.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf68…ed10backed Henry Bernet | 17c | 389.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 55 | 52.7%29 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Henry Bernet | 17c | 389.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Henry Bernet | 17c | 389.41$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.2 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Henry Bernet | 17c | 371.39$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.14 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Henry Bernet | 37c | 360.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.57 | 967 | 55.3%535 W · 432 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Henry Bernet | 16c | 296.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.48 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Henry Bernet | 17c | 279.47$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Henry Bernet | 8c | 278.72$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 63c | 216.16$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 1,421 | 55%782 W · 639 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Henry Bernet | 16c | 207.73$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Henry Bernet | 22c | 194.76$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.04 | 246 | 34.1%84 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…1791backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 168.75$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 163.39$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.19 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c4…26f2backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 127.21$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.52 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84bd…34d0backed Henry Bernet | 38c | 126.69$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.14 | 108 | 29.6%32 W · 76 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Henry Bernet | 16c | 106.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 208 | 36.5%76 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Henry Bernet | 14c | 98.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 97.9$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.26 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10fd…633bbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 63c | 97.78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.18 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…61babacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 97.23$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.03 | 39 | 79.5%31 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 63c | 75.78$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.01 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…15f7backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 74.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 72.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.44 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 71.47$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 368 | 52.7%194 W · 174 L | +13.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 64c | 56.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.22 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 50.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ded…68a3backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 45.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.81 | 885 | 60.2%533 W · 352 L | -13.6wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Henry Bernet | 37c | 43.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 62c | 40.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96a0…c637backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 61c | 32.02$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.49 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf40e…9addbacked Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 30.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 386 | 64%247 W · 139 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3373…50c4backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 63c | 18.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Alejandro Moro Canas | 65c | 15.86$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 149 | 58.4%87 W · 62 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.