College Football · resolved market
Florida Atlantic vs. Maryland
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4376eff0b1f59f5ab957973d8302b42f3bc71be4388e619bb3587be55f1e841
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marylandof Florida Atlantic, Maryland
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,652
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,106
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,652 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Florida Atlantic | 18c | 5,456$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.14 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Florida Atlantic | 17c | 4,685$788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$787.82 | 405 | 49.4%200 W · 205 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Florida Atlantic | 18c | 3,050$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549 | 28 | 0%0 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a0…c3b9backed Florida Atlantic | 17c | 2,082$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 117 | 35.9%42 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Florida Atlantic | 21c | 2,000$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.28 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Maryland | 79c | 1,796$1,419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.13 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Florida Atlantic | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7836…6bc4backed Florida Atlantic | 24c | 433.33$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Florida Atlantic | 15c | 300$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.20per pick | 42cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Maryland | 76c | 234.17$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.08 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida Atlantic | 18c | 218$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.24 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x431b…1d9cbacked Florida Atlantic | 19c | 212.3$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Florida Atlantic | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 94 | 20.2%19 W · 75 L | -8.0wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 149.97$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 473 | 31.5%149 W · 324 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Florida Atlantic | 16c | 117.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 98 | 43.9%43 W · 55 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Florida Atlantic | 16c | 99.95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 124 | 33.1%41 W · 83 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2272…2e9cbacked Florida Atlantic | 16c | 92.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Florida Atlantic | 17c | 83.93$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Maryland | 78c | 67.91$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.17 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.