Tennis · resolved market
ITF M25 Lesa Men: Kasra Rahmani vs Giacomo Crisostomo
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb447412d878a55bb4dc02285b08437befe2c722f030645d908a2f62e13fda807
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kasra Rahmaniof Kasra Rahmani, Giacomo Crisostomo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kasra Rahmani | 70c | 1,599$1,123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.36 | 11,325 | 43.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L | +18.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 31c | 448.39$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139 | 1,773 | 48.6%861 W · 912 L | +28.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 28c | 310$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.8 | 1,672 | 50.1%837 W · 835 L | +30.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 30c | 199.37$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 7,745 | 50.6%3,916 W · 3,829 L | +93.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,575 | 46.4%1,195 W · 1,380 L | +15.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 912 | 55.9%510 W · 402 L | +21.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 941 | 49.5%466 W · 475 L | +17.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff06…c7d5backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 12c | 160.29$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd82…6a10backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 31c | 151.61$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 273 | 57.9%158 W · 115 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…c00fbacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 30c | 111.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 479 | 56.8%272 W · 207 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 913 | 54.9%501 W · 412 L | +16.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Giacomo Crisostomo | 30c | 64.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,001 | 38.4%384 W · 617 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Giacomo Crisostomo | 30c | 64.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 554 | 37.5%208 W · 346 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Kasra Rahmani | 71c | 48.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1,252 | 38.8%486 W · 766 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8c…e040backed Kasra Rahmani | 73c | 48.03$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.08 | 597 | 38.2%228 W · 369 L | -27.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kasra Rahmani | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x767e…98cabacked Kasra Rahmani | 77c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.88 | 406 | 61.3%249 W · 157 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.