Euroleague · resolved market
CB Murcia vs. Unicaja
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4510517b4711c643a44bc0040563723ad578004e6f8ab504fd2ec7af82e0ef4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CB Murciaof CB Murcia, Unicaja
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,104
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,612
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,104 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x255a…3435backed Unicaja | 11c | 999.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc26a…b715backed Unicaja | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Unicaja | 19c | 474.7$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Unicaja | 33c | 301$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.33 | 542 | 51.5%279 W · 263 L | +25.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Unicaja | 18c | 229.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 352 | 34.7%122 W · 230 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Unicaja | 31c | 224.37$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Unicaja | 18c | 166.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.99 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Unicaja | 33c | 152.66$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9be5…3dfbbacked CB Murcia | 70c | 140$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb6…8b23backed Unicaja | 31c | 132.74$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f76…1688backed Unicaja | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked CB Murcia | 69c | 108.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5696…b3aabacked CB Murcia | 69c | 101.01$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Unicaja | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 273 | 38.1%104 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed CB Murcia | 69c | 90$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 137 | 51.1%70 W · 67 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CB Murcia | 75c | 85.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97c…cdf6backed Unicaja | 32c | 46.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked CB Murcia | 68c | 35.75$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.44 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked CB Murcia | 69c | 32.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2752…8ce3backed CB Murcia | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c25…c31fbacked CB Murcia | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fff…38d2backed Unicaja | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…67b6backed CB Murcia | 50c | 21.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed CB Murcia | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed CB Murcia | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed CB Murcia | 73c | 15.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.