Tennis · resolved market
ITF Monastir: Anna Donnell vs Eva Lopez
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb489c95865208abe9e9178dc8174eb8d3667d346d1dfe427684f7901108229e5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anna Donnellof Anna Donnell, Eva Lopez
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,482
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,482 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 12 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Anna Donnell | 14c | 1,130$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.95 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Eva Lopez | 23c | 597.59$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.45 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Anna Donnell | 74c | 443$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.98 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Anna Donnell | 15c | 376.08$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.62 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Anna Donnell | 55c | 328.11$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.82 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Anna Donnell | 9c | 227.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.83 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f1d…2fb6backed Eva Lopez | 49c | 180$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.2 | 1,556 | 42.4%660 W · 896 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Anna Donnell | 64c | 140.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.16 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Anna Donnell | 30c | 132$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Eva Lopez | 42c | 101.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.55 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Eva Lopez | 44c | 68.75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Anna Donnell | 50c | 24.12$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.16 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.