CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb50a782c37bf75dae015f72ddcfb93f1e12eae306384ab3b179b486c89440e81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Metizportof Phantom, Metizport
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,083
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,083 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdff5…7bd9backed Phantom | 22c | 1,981$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.42 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Metizport | 78c | 1,931$1,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.5 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…20afbacked Phantom | 10c | 680$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 432 | 37.7%163 W · 269 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…70c0backed Phantom | 22c | 606.95$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.55 | 608 | 38.2%232 W · 376 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Phantom | 4c | 516.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Phantom | 4c | 393.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.32 | 567 | 32.5%184 W · 383 L | -30.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d56…52b1backed Phantom | 14c | 379.36$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.11 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc104…5faabacked Phantom | 29c | 328.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.75 | 80 | 20%16 W · 64 L | -7.5wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Phantom | 12c | 286.79$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.43 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Phantom | 34c | 175.13$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.54 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Metizport | 65c | 169.12$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.54 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Phantom | 14c | 167.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Metizport | 76c | 154.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.34 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked Metizport | 75c | 109.84$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.57 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Metizport | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Metizport | 75c | 52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Metizport | 71c | 46.25$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.41 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Phantom | 29c | 46.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Metizport - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Metizport (BO3) - European Pro League Series 6 PlayoffsMetizport won
- Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Metizport - Map 2 WinnerMetizport won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.