Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5233cb883833a19280db72a9d5e9f78464adbcbcdab9397be476f38865a9b78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pixel Luminaof FOKUS, Pixel Lumina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,996
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Pixel Lumina | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FOKUS | 46c | 1,208$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.62 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd2…0abfbacked FOKUS | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 36cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed Pixel Lumina | 63c | 240$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.4 | 58 | 58.6%34 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FOKUS | 39c | 228.75$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.07 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FOKUS | 46c | 214.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.83 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e9…67ffbacked Pixel Lumina | 51c | 154.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.86 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Pixel Lumina | 54c | 148.98$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…bb64backed Pixel Lumina | 54c | 145.91$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.72 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 53cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 45c | 139.59$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.51 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS | 46c | 132.96$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked FOKUS | 66c | 79$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.14 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked FOKUS | 38c | 78.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.71 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Pixel Lumina | 50c | 75$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Pixel Lumina | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 556 | 37.6%209 W · 347 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed FOKUS | 55c | 49.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.11 | 391 | 66%258 W · 133 L | +24.0wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24f5…98d2backed FOKUS | 46c | 43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.93 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked FOKUS | 48c | 39.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.1 | 137 | 41.6%57 W · 80 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3b…d591backed FOKUS | 49c | 39.21$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.21 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked FOKUS | 62c | 32.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Pixel Lumina | 61c | 18.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.27 | 1,417 | 51.3%727 W · 690 L | +49.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-3.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+3.5)FOKUS won
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group CFOKUS won
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs FOKUS - Map 1 WinnerFOKUS won
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerPixel Lumina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.