Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18acf5a91ccd288e62172e4c2b838e2d523ec88155db597dbebdd542203df97e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUSof Pixel Lumina, FOKUS
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,692
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,692 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xff34…694bbacked FOKUS | 65c | 573.02$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.2 | 785 | 62.8%493 W · 292 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked FOKUS | 69c | 418.03$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.18 | 943 | 61.2%577 W · 366 L | +58.2wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06c0…e618backed FOKUS | 68c | 393.13$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.8 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Pixel Lumina | 32c | 305$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.6 | 140 | 32.9%46 W · 94 L | -11.0wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…c5b2backed FOKUS | 70c | 300$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Pixel Lumina | 39c | 289.92$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Pixel Lumina | 32c | 250$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 544 | 39.9%217 W · 327 L | +12.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked FOKUS | 68c | 240$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked FOKUS | 77c | 234.49$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Pixel Lumina | 32c | 222.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.27 | 689 | 49.5%341 W · 348 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Pixel Lumina | 20c | 214.24$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Pixel Lumina | 17c | 213.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.35 | 777 | 44%342 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Pixel Lumina | 28c | 212.45$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.36 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked FOKUS | 79c | 211$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.29 | 553 | 48.3%267 W · 286 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked FOKUS | 79c | 200$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.39 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Pixel Lumina | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,276 | 32.1%409 W · 867 L | -67.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0be…4949backed Pixel Lumina | 47c | 197.61$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 41cpaid | +85.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Pixel Lumina | 22c | 176.98$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.33 | 746 | 42.8%319 W · 427 L | -27.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed FOKUS | 78c | 175.01$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.31 | 796 | 50%398 W · 398 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Pixel Lumina | 43c | 175$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.08 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked FOKUS | 77c | 141$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.83 | 1,358 | 39%530 W · 828 L | -57.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…6532backed FOKUS | 53c | 127.61$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Pixel Lumina | 37c | 117.22$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 1,490 | 46.6%695 W · 795 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0593…9712backed FOKUS | 72c | 116.26$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 159 | 73%116 W · 43 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Pixel Lumina | 20c | 108.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.92 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Pixel Lumina | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Pixel Lumina | 26c | 92.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.36 | 848 | 38.2%324 W · 524 L | -50.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Pixel Lumina | 26c | 78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 421 | 40.4%170 W · 251 L | -26.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd565…d785backed FOKUS | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Pixel Lumina | 25c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed FOKUS | 68c | 67.11$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 207 | 55.6%115 W · 92 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Pixel Lumina | 24c | 62.66$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 338 | 38.5%130 W · 208 L | -21.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Pixel Lumina | 19c | 61.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.72 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbc…04a3backed FOKUS | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS | 71c | 44.82$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.93 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Pixel Lumina | 26c | 39.46$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Pixel Lumina | 33c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed FOKUS | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 216 | 41.7%90 W · 126 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked FOKUS | 79c | 21.25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 962 | 45.1%434 W · 528 L | -18.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked FOKUS | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.07 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FOKUS | 69c | 19.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed FOKUS | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 305 | 44.3%135 W · 170 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed FOKUS | 74c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.9 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs FOKUS - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: FOKUS (-3.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+3.5)FOKUS won
- Map Handicap: FKS (-1.5) vs Pixel Lumina (+1.5)Pixel Lumina won
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs FOKUS (BO3) - VCL EMEA: Stage 3 Group CFOKUS won
- Valorant: Pixel Lumina vs FOKUS - Map 2 WinnerPixel Lumina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.