La Liga · resolved market
Will FC Andorra win on 2026-01-18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb535907ea3ecce72e65bf06cc8c6041ec76c2c3c66307f79de832d0213f4ae28
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,832
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,606
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,832 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 10c | 25,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 34c | 5,924$2,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,909.42 | 504 | 49.8%251 W · 253 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 5,902$3,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,895.48 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked No | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 16c | 430.36$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.69 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1a…d9abbacked Yes | 38c | 421.05$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.05 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 14c | 250.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.1 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Yes | 37c | 167.01$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked No | 12c | 152.01$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 127 | 44.1%56 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76da…30a2backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 20c | 107.33$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.48 | 299 | 46.5%139 W · 160 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 37c | 104.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.06 | 494 | 47%232 W · 262 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ad…c3c9backed No | 24c | 102.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39df…4037backed Yes | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 62c | 53.63$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.25 | 227 | 46.7%106 W · 121 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 79c | 50.88$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.7 | 572 | 52.1%298 W · 274 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 38c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 160 | 36.3%58 W · 102 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca61…f06abacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 151 | 47%71 W · 80 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a09…76e9backed No | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70b1…73b2backed No | 67c | 37.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.88 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65a6…3e59backed No | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | +12.8wins | +0.13per pick | 38cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6030…ed7ebacked Yes | 61c | 26.39$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 66c | 24.71$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…2506backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…fabcbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.1 | 65 | 75.4%49 W · 16 L | +15.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 744 | 57.5%428 W · 316 L | +22.4wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…fbe5backed Yes | 69c | 18.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Andorra win on 2026-01-18?this page
- Will CD Mirandés vs. FC Andorra end in a draw?No won
- Will CD Mirandés win on 2026-01-18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.