Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5684e2fd253e482c928c1e1b4010e01054b99585a61d2a01b2983d5652b5257
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Anyone's Legendof Anyone's Legend, Weibo Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,806
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,806 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Weibo Gaming | 34c | 2,628$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.55 | 172 | 50.6%87 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Anyone's Legend | 66c | 2,477$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.25 | 217 | 53.9%117 W · 100 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Weibo Gaming | 63c | 1,593$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.89 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1311…d450backed Anyone's Legend | 37c | 985.45$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.83 | 313 | 37.7%118 W · 195 L | -15.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Weibo Gaming | 58c | 796.02$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.69 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Anyone's Legend | 42c | 769.95$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.57 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x791e…9bdabacked Weibo Gaming | 61c | 709.74$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.94 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…6e77backed Anyone's Legend | 39c | 686.89$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419 | 241 | 47.3%114 W · 127 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Anyone's Legend | 43c | 603.48$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.93 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked Anyone's Legend | 37c | 507.89$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.97 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Weibo Gaming | 62c | 501.94$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.21 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Anyone's Legend | 62c | 315.91$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.48 | 215 | 59.5%128 W · 87 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Weibo Gaming | 51c | 311.36$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.71 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Anyone's Legend | 47c | 301.39$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.44 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Anyone's Legend | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.99 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa19d…3909backed Anyone's Legend | 38c | 289.21$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.31 | 1,521 | 50.6%769 W · 752 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x260c…7130backed Weibo Gaming | 60c | 220$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 239 | 32.6%78 W · 161 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea2…370cbacked Weibo Gaming | 63c | 207.98$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.03 | 474 | 34.8%165 W · 309 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Anyone's Legend | 47c | 193.64$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.63 | 391 | 52.2%204 W · 187 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x503a…860abacked Weibo Gaming | 62c | 189.59$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.25 | 299 | 44.1%132 W · 167 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 160.1$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.66 | 1,114 | 35%390 W · 724 L | +14.3wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675e…16b1backed Anyone's Legend | 65c | 158.41$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.62 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.41per pick | 61cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Anyone's Legend | 39c | 140$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.4 | 749 | 49.7%372 W · 377 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa49f…b0f0backed Anyone's Legend | 40c | 123.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.79 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Anyone's Legend | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Anyone's Legend | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.4 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…865fbacked Weibo Gaming | 63c | 115.54$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.36 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Anyone's Legend | 61c | 110.66$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.16 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Weibo Gaming | 40c | 107.15$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.86 | 780 | 50%390 W · 390 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca6…6a20backed Weibo Gaming | 61c | 100.86$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.53 | 286 | 52.8%151 W · 135 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…94bebacked Anyone's Legend | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 465 | 52.7%245 W · 220 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Anyone's Legend | 40c | 86.76$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.06 | 1,241 | 34.7%431 W · 810 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x835f…6ff7backed Anyone's Legend | 66c | 59.37$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Weibo Gaming | 50c | 49.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.85 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdffe…b4d3backed Anyone's Legend | 65c | 39.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.05 | 83 | 30.1%25 W · 58 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ad…827cbacked Anyone's Legend | 46c | 37.02$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.85 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Anyone's Legend | 36c | 31.55$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e9b…964fbacked Weibo Gaming | 62c | 31.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1be4…1db1backed Anyone's Legend | 40c | 28.92$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.35 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae5…bb4abacked Anyone's Legend | 41c | 26.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.8 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Weibo Gaming | 39c | 25.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Weibo Gaming | 60c | 23.54$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.12 | 154 | 33.1%51 W · 103 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb682…2d79backed Weibo Gaming | 63c | 23.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.67 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs Weibo Gaming (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Anyone's Legend won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 WinnerAnyone's Legend won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.