Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5749c1204478350f25f38beabf1e9702a4147dec7611cb0f59f22b48a614c3a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Envyof M80, Team Envy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x026b…8804backed M80 | 35c | 2,050$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.49 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed M80 | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.99 | 390 | 42.6%166 W · 224 L | +19.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Envy | 65c | 1,116$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.5 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team Envy | 66c | 738.19$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.02 | 565 | 51.2%289 W · 276 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Team Envy | 65c | 604.93$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.73 | 179 | 48.6%87 W · 92 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team Envy | 66c | 500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed M80 | 34c | 499.99$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 65 | 41.5%27 W · 38 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Team Envy | 67c | 459.7$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.7 | 176 | 40.3%71 W · 105 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…f7dbbacked M80 | 35c | 390.71$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.7 | 162 | 41.4%67 W · 95 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Envy | 67c | 176.25$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.16 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Team Envy | 68c | 110$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.5 | 492 | 55.3%272 W · 220 L | +23.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team Envy | 67c | 100.61$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.61 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Team Envy | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2eba…0f3abacked Team Envy | 65c | 91.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 197 | 51.8%102 W · 95 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Team Envy | 67c | 85.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.27 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team Envy | 67c | 52.88$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Team Envy | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea9…9248backed Team Envy | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe554…588dbacked M80 | 34c | 40.61$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -4.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbf04…ad65backed M80 | 35c | 30.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 285 | 41.1%117 W · 168 L | -26.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Team Envy | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Team Envy | 67c | 29.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked Team Envy | 67c | 23.88$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 53cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M80 (-1.5) vs Team Envy (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Play-InTeam Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 - Map 1 WinnerTeam Envy won
- Valorant: Team Envy vs M80 - Map 2 WinnerTeam Envy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.