Asian League · resolved market
Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb5a51377b890a35df4ddc3dcde6e5b1c3e7df81f2d1b032e98d5f27058718d53
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,467
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 29c | 1,375$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.29 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 75c | 1,068$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.28 | 1,098 | 43.8%481 W · 617 L | -14.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Yes | 37c | 920.27$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.0wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 32c | 555.95$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.17 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8642…47c8backed No | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3b…acdebacked Yes | 26c | 496.15$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 27c | 400.5$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 1,522 | 54.9%835 W · 687 L | +5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 71c | 316.71$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.98 | 401 | 56.4%226 W · 175 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c15…9667backed Yes | 37c | 300$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 219 | 41.6%91 W · 128 L | -17.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbde…3dc9backed No | 63c | 300$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111 | 191 | 58.6%112 W · 79 L | +19.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed No | 63c | 160$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 63 | 58.7%37 W · 26 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5444…bbdabacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.19per pick | 55cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 73c | 138$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 361 | 42.4%153 W · 208 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…13afbacked Yes | 20c | 125$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 71c | 105.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 98 | 59.2%58 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fd…849ebacked Yes | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 71c | 93.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 390 | 58.2%227 W · 163 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 71c | 93.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 163 | 56.4%92 W · 71 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 71c | 93.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 345 | 58.6%202 W · 143 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed No | 71c | 93.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 71c | 93.99$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.17 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -6.9wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 70c | 92.09$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.85 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 16c | 91.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.68 | 294 | 25.2%74 W · 220 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 70c | 91.67$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 145 | 57.2%83 W · 62 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 68c | 83.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 70c | 80.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 73 | 56.2%41 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 70c | 80.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 226 | 56.6%128 W · 98 L | +8.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 71c | 78.77$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.77 | 478 | 60.3%288 W · 190 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 34c | 68.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.24 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 71c | 65.81$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Yes | 23c | 60$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 71c | 59.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Yes | 30c | 57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 32c | 52.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 282 | 53.5%151 W · 131 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c04…a5c1backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…7a99backed No | 63c | 47.61$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 531 | 48.8%259 W · 272 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd2…f9a6backed No | 79c | 38.81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 71c | 37$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 71c | 36.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 153 | 58.8%90 W · 63 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 68c | 36.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 71 | 56.3%40 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed No | 72c | 33.62$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb651…4a7cbacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 68c | 28.87$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.26 | 246 | 56.9%140 W · 106 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 68c | 28.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.17 | 325 | 60.3%196 W · 129 L | +20.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 71c | 28.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 62cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 71c | 28.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 53 | 73.6%39 W · 14 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 61cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 73c | 20.21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 95 | 52.6%50 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked No | 70c | 18.61$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096e…efd8backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kashiwa Reysol win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will FC Machida Zelvia vs. Kashiwa Reysol end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Machida Zelvia win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.