Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb60b960d78cc25aaf7bb4fa50c50ebea8f2c65afc0ac40497e067446edd9f9a6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,193
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,193 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 59c | 8,633$5,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,070.67 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 41c | 5,001$2,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,925.37 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 60c | 1,549$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.94 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 71c | 848.46$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.34 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 61c | 758.56$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.23 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 59c | 659$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed No | 14c | 432.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.6 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 58c | 376$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.08 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 296.57$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.81 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 58c | 243$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.98 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 196.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafe3…1f2abacked No | 62c | 128.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.54 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 59c | 123.09$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.23 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 57c | 119.23$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 479 | 26.9%129 W · 350 L | -32.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 174 | 47.7%83 W · 91 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b5…4e3dbacked No | 60c | 99.86$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 51c | 97.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.77 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 47c | 96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.22 | 130 | 50%65 W · 65 L | +10.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 55c | 71.85$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.39 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 54c | 58.33$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.75 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 38c | 57.28$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.51 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.25per pick | 51cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 71c | 50$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.45 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…3a2abacked No | 60c | 42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -83.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 72c | 41.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…4bf8backed Yes | 42c | 39.66$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 38c | 39.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 59c | 38.95$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.93 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 56c | 37.07$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 69c | 36.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 62c | 36.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3926…5863backed No | 59c | 34.47$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.51 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a8…3639backed No | 76c | 32$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.32 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 408 | 50.7%207 W · 201 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 61c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.35 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked No | 68c | 24$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 62c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Fredericia win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will FC Fredericia vs. Silkeborg IF end in a draw?No won
- Will Silkeborg IF win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.