Mls · resolved market
Atlanta United FC vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6c56ba73d2d488313f03f872af2f8c4d94e8f5eceb91cb6302b295b32e27af1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,237
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 41c | 254.54$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae6d…468dbacked Yes | 60c | 165$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 80c | 125.34$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.34 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x736d…c635backed Yes | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 42c | 93.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.88 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 58c | 77.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed No | 43c | 63.54$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.17 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked No | 44c | 54.66$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.61 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 57c | 51$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Yes | 56c | 37$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Yes | 56c | 35.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Yes | 58c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Yes | 57c | 18.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +31%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Atlanta United FC vs. D.C. United SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Atlanta United FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 1.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Atlanta United FC vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: D.C. United SC (-1.5)Atlanta United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.