Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Essence vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb6ee712a484431d31148cff103cbd63d861f5485143976a562bd23520013c68a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Essenceof Team Essence, Yangon Galacticos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,174
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,174 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb40e…7787backed Yangon Galacticos | 2c | 11,300$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Yangon Galacticos | 7c | 3,061$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.53 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed Team Essence | 76c | 998.66$762 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.57 | 328 | 54.9%180 W · 148 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ba…adb3backed Team Essence | 8c | 248.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.93 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +387.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Yangon Galacticos | 54c | 203.19$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0341…a679backed Team Essence | 19c | 184.21$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.21 | 81 | 55.6%45 W · 36 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Team Essence | 51c | 108.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Team Essence | 19c | 93.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.1 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Team Essence | 29c | 93.1$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.1 | 312 | 51.3%160 W · 152 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Team Essence | 38c | 75.49$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 173 | 42.8%74 W · 99 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Team Essence | 28c | 73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.56 | 410 | 37.3%153 W · 257 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69b7…ae1dbacked Yangon Galacticos | 72c | 73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.56 | 74 | 71.6%53 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Team Essence | 33c | 70.26$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.99 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Team Essence | 26c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29f8…ffa9backed Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 57.8$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yangon Galacticos | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked Yangon Galacticos | 79c | 41.7$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…7139backed Yangon Galacticos | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.26per pick | 64cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Essence vs Yangon Galacticos (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stagethis page
- Dota 2: Team Essence vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 1 WinnerYangon Galacticos won
- Dota 2: Team Essence vs Yangon Galacticos - Game 2 WinnerTeam Essence won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
- Game 1: Any Player Ultra Kill?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Beat Roshan?No won
- Game 1: Both Teams Destroy Barracks?No won
- Game 2: Both Teams Beat Roshan?No won
- Game Handicap: YG (-1.5) vs Team Essence (+1.5)Team Essence won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.