CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Tricked (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb714924575bcb59771f3668c67a07b527973215ec8249684eef4fc56881fc045
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickedof Sashi Esport, Tricked
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,080 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Tricked | 50c | 3,800$1,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.97 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed Sashi Esport | 50c | 2,004$994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.5 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd055…28d0backed Sashi Esport | 51c | 661.38$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.3 | 655 | 46.9%307 W · 348 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Sashi Esport | 25c | 645.27$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8748…866dbacked Sashi Esport | 6c | 568$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Sashi Esport | 36c | 399.99$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…7babbacked Sashi Esport | 6c | 314$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Sashi Esport | 50c | 289.29$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…87b1backed Tricked | 74c | 279.27$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sashi Esport | 33c | 268.27$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.76 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Sashi Esport | 6c | 249.26$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Sashi Esport | 51c | 180$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x820b…d27abacked Tricked | 50c | 111.43$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 260 | 46.2%120 W · 140 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Sashi Esport | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,319 | 44.2%583 W · 736 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Sashi Esport | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Sashi Esport | 51c | 29.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 700 | 36.1%253 W · 447 L | +18.4wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Sashi Esport | 51c | 29.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 965 | 43.5%420 W · 545 L | -20.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Tricked (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sashi Esport vs Tricked - Map 2 WinnerTricked won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.