CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Fingers Crossed vs los kogutos (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #14 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb72c01356aa7c77d451ddecb69e529c87a583e9853be2f8c775f6193545bafc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- los kogutosof Fingers Crossed, los kogutos
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,841
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,672
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,841 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0370…d000backed los kogutos | 37c | 809.46$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.91 | 286 | 60.1%172 W · 114 L | +17.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Fingers Crossed | 41c | 729.62$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.5 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f9…d587backed Fingers Crossed | 5c | 446.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.31 | 350 | 33.4%117 W · 233 L | +22.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ec…17d7backed Fingers Crossed | 70c | 360.29$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Fingers Crossed | 11c | 107.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Fingers Crossed | 36c | 101.94$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b14…d18cbacked Fingers Crossed | 42c | 74.91$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked los kogutos | 54c | 70.93$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd120…19fcbacked los kogutos | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Fingers Crossed | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 120 | 38.3%46 W · 74 L | -12.0wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xacf2…ecfbbacked los kogutos | 56c | 36.52$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.07 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1931…f2b8backed Fingers Crossed | 63c | 35.94$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa17e…7584backed Fingers Crossed | 57c | 31.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 55 | 63.6%35 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bae…61b8backed Fingers Crossed | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 55.7%54 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ae…1464backed Fingers Crossed | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Fingers Crossed | 70c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8a…c49dbacked Fingers Crossed | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd06…a25dbacked Fingers Crossed | 74c | 22.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b25…a545backed Fingers Crossed | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.