Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Charleston Southern vs. UNC Asheville
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb761dcb3b2cae7ad48c5ae87d28a63e67ed3fcc68b1ecd18b662da9e37f22ed5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UNC Ashevilleof Charleston Southern, UNC Asheville
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,742
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,892
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,742 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Charleston Southern | 36c | 953.1$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.24 | 284 | 45.1%128 W · 156 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed UNC Asheville | 66c | 690$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.6 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe077…8ee3backed Charleston Southern | 16c | 569.98$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.77 | 26 | 11.5%3 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f26…e4c8backed UNC Asheville | 50c | 513$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.5 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Charleston Southern | 19c | 466$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.58 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…19bbbacked Charleston Southern | 50c | 92$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdc…d3e7backed Charleston Southern | 50c | 86$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a7…4fe3backed Charleston Southern | 50c | 84$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a01…7a30backed Charleston Southern | 50c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd9…e6e7backed Charleston Southern | 50c | 65$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbec6…423cbacked Charleston Southern | 50c | 63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.19 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51c…6b2cbacked UNC Asheville | 51c | 63$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +49.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c85…37c5backed Charleston Southern | 50c | 59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac0b…e7fdbacked Charleston Southern | 50c | 52$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5424…50c3backed Charleston Southern | 57c | 47$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…8a8bbacked UNC Asheville | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…a5d2backed Charleston Southern | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.