CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ab2c7c45dafa2ab728ebfd6aaf0fb04cb22b42f9ae108084b66f69f7853109
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nuclear TigeRESof Gentle Mates, Nuclear TigeRES
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,112
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,460
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,112 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x588d…3f41backed Gentle Mates | 0c | 10,709$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 835 | 43.6%364 W · 471 L | -9.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 2,672$2,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624.81 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Gentle Mates | 22c | 739.66$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.31 | 95 | 37.9%36 W · 59 L | -7.0wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Gentle Mates | 24c | 699.99$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.63 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 422.79$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.43 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 299.99$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.89 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e54…511ebacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 299$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.77 | 388 | 44.3%172 W · 216 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Gentle Mates | 25c | 272.2$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.12 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03c5…5f61backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 243.48$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Nuclear TigeRES | 78c | 230.69$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Gentle Mates | 24c | 204$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.95 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x920a…29e0backed Gentle Mates | 25c | 196.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4554…8deebacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 173.91$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Gentle Mates | 23c | 149.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Gentle Mates | 24c | 135.21$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.87 | 334 | 48.2%161 W · 173 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 110.01$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.91 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Gentle Mates | 25c | 92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 111 | 51.4%57 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9e…fbfdbacked Gentle Mates | 23c | 91.3$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 545 | 43.5%237 W · 308 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8106…bd36backed Gentle Mates | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91df…fd49backed Nuclear TigeRES | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 56.48$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Nuclear TigeRES | 72c | 55.18$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.18 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Gentle Mates | 24c | 46.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…17e6backed Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 32.63$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Nuclear TigeRES | 76c | 22.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.46 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70b4…6815backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.83 | 234 | 65%152 W · 82 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Nuclear TigeRES | 77c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.19 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: M8 (-1.5) vs Nuclear TigeRES (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series PlayoffsNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 1 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Counter-Strike: Gentle Mates vs Nuclear TigeRES - Map 2 WinnerNuclear TigeRES won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.