Lol · resolved market
LoL: Karmine Corp Blue vs CITA Kaizen (BO1) - EMEA Masters Swiss Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7d17025de07efaa2d495e6be31d15ed7ddcce868326946dde770be04fc52f56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Karmine Corp Blueof Karmine Corp Blue, CITA Kaizen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,812
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,117
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,812 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7553…65cabacked CITA Kaizen | 45c | 1,983$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.35 | 672 | 50.9%342 W · 330 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Karmine Corp Blue | 58c | 1,711$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$716.36 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +5.4wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 65c | 1,500$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d71…8da4backed CITA Kaizen | 19c | 750.15$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.54 | 413 | 43.6%180 W · 233 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…c67ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 71c | 659.85$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.76 | 677 | 60.4%409 W · 268 L | +42.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…2104backed Karmine Corp Blue | 79c | 505.19$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.19 | 23 | 87%20 W · 3 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 64cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…6b31backed CITA Kaizen | 39c | 352.89$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.07 | 65 | 66.2%43 W · 22 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Karmine Corp Blue | 66c | 287.7$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.62 | 1,899 | 37.1%705 W · 1,194 L | -113.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…0336backed CITA Kaizen | 58c | 284.17$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 141 | 49.6%70 W · 71 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed CITA Kaizen | 24c | 256.08$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 698 | 41.8%292 W · 406 L | +46.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x860e…a787backed CITA Kaizen | 35c | 230$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca0…38babacked CITA Kaizen | 26c | 229.81$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,443 | 43.4%626 W · 817 L | +105.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c15…a96cbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 202.4$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.52 | 303 | 66.3%201 W · 102 L | +34.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3b09…e4c2backed Karmine Corp Blue | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…9896backed Karmine Corp Blue | 58c | 160.02$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.59 | 506 | 46%233 W · 273 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd16b…36c0backed Karmine Corp Blue | 48c | 143.28$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.08 | 478 | 54%258 W · 220 L | -16.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4d…1cb0backed CITA Kaizen | 20c | 135.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 1,270 | 57%724 W · 546 L | +45.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7322…9f57backed Karmine Corp Blue | 77c | 129.17$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.17 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4e…b690backed Karmine Corp Blue | 50c | 128.6$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.3 | 825 | 54.8%452 W · 373 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2417…86b1backed Karmine Corp Blue | 36c | 111.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.71 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Karmine Corp Blue | 76c | 107.81$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 664 | 58%385 W · 279 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed CITA Kaizen | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 573 | 51.3%294 W · 279 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ff…6b45backed CITA Kaizen | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -9.9wins | -0.20per pick | 51cpaid | -44%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 77c | 97.69$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.56 | 255 | 40.8%104 W · 151 L | -26.0wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -29%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf63e…f525backed Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 72.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b0b…612abacked Karmine Corp Blue | 69c | 72.18$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.18 | 440 | 46.4%204 W · 236 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f2…a6fabacked CITA Kaizen | 36c | 71.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 186 | 55.4%103 W · 83 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf859…a183backed Karmine Corp Blue | 57c | 70$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 1,213 | 52.3%635 W · 578 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Karmine Corp Blue | 66c | 66.9$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 63.21$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.36 | 316 | 46.5%147 W · 169 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfbc…1fb5backed CITA Kaizen | 34c | 56.94$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.23 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…890cbacked CITA Kaizen | 39c | 53.66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9b…7272backed CITA Kaizen | 46c | 52.92$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 60c | 52.31$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.94 | 229 | 55.5%127 W · 102 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7579…524abacked CITA Kaizen | 36c | 43.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200e…e21dbacked CITA Kaizen | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 997 | 47.1%470 W · 527 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f0…61e1backed CITA Kaizen | 40c | 39.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…fd6bbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 73c | 38.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 82 | 67.1%55 W · 27 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…a0bdbacked Karmine Corp Blue | 78c | 38.78$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.53 | 154 | 57.8%89 W · 65 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Karmine Corp Blue | 72c | 38.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.84 | 840 | 41%344 W · 496 L | -38.1wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x330f…91b1backed Karmine Corp Blue | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,247 | 52.8%659 W · 588 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Karmine Corp Blue | 50c | 20.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 751 | 50.7%381 W · 370 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6dc…58d5backed Karmine Corp Blue | 64c | 16.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.