TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ITF W35 Krakow Women: Gaia Maduzzi vs Sapfo Sakellaridi

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Gaia Maduzziof Gaia Maduzzi, Sapfo Sakellaridi
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,071
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,507

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,071 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Sapfo Sakellaridi20c5,977$1,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,203.5911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Gaia Maduzzi70c3,529$2,470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,058.728,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sapfo Sakellaridi44c340.55$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.228,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e0e…1cebbacked Sapfo Sakellaridi21c238.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020939.7%83 W · 126 L+4.8wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Gaia Maduzzi80c170$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3488358.2%514 W · 369 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb720…da75backed Gaia Maduzzi52c144.23$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2335164.7%227 W · 124 L+20.8wins+0.06per pick59cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6f7…c7a2backed Gaia Maduzzi53c132.08$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0828255%155 W · 127 L+9.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Sapfo Sakellaridi10c126.76$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.211,30838.9%509 W · 799 L-23.3wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-27.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Gaia Maduzzi79c114.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2472147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Gaia Maduzzi56c100.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.481,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x162d…8944backed Sapfo Sakellaridi26c64.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7313134.4%45 W · 86 L+13.5wins+0.10per pick24cpaid+25.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Gaia Maduzzi80c58.1$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.621,25665.4%821 W · 435 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick64cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87f7…8f45backed Sapfo Sakellaridi22c53.62$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.0648947.4%232 W · 257 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-10.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd355…e402backed Sapfo Sakellaridi27c44.81$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.314536.6%53 W · 92 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24ce…da46backed Gaia Maduzzi71c35.32$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2442748.7%208 W · 219 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcbb…07d9backed Gaia Maduzzi70c30.93$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2823256.5%131 W · 101 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9030…60e4backed Gaia Maduzzi71c20.3$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.893850%19 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Gaia Maduzzi71c15.45$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.481,22652%637 W · 589 L+44.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.