Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open, Qualification: Igor Ribeiro Marcondes vs Jaime Faria
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb7ec2ed0fd53a168c4310a9f894472c680be753c230389cac6354579ac40c87e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcondesof Marcondes, Faria
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,662
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Faria | 33c | 7,727$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,542.84 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Marcondes | 69c | 6,542$4,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,033.22 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Marcondes | 67c | 2,764$1,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$905.16 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…6f9abacked Faria | 65c | 2,720$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,772.09 | 943 | 55.7%525 W · 418 L | +22.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Marcondes | 35c | 2,691$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.23 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Marcondes | 50c | 1,082$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.43 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Faria | 61c | 1,017$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc537…f385backed Faria | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Faria | 15c | 800$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Faria | 44c | 641.35$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.37 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…4183backed Faria | 70c | 568.82$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 142 | 50.7%72 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5dc…7cf2backed Marcondes | 76c | 555$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.2 | 65 | 64.6%42 W · 23 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Faria | 28c | 436.82$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8612…6a0abacked Faria | 74c | 352.44$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Marcondes | 28c | 337.2$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.7 | 347 | 45.2%157 W · 190 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Marcondes | 51c | 300.91$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.83 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Marcondes | 26c | 261.92$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.82 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Marcondes | 51c | 238$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.63 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Marcondes | 58c | 233.39$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4892…27bcbacked Marcondes | 71c | 225.35$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.35 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d24…6564backed Faria | 35c | 215$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Faria | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Faria | 73c | 164.38$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Marcondes | 74c | 161.87$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.87 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Faria | 65c | 146$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Faria | 42c | 129$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.17 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Marcondes | 32c | 114.28$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.29 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Faria | 72c | 100$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Marcondes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Marcondes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Faria | 71c | 99.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.77 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Faria | 30c | 98.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.81 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Faria | 47c | 89.4$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.83 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005c…a987backed Faria | 63c | 81.38$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.27 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Faria | 29c | 75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Marcondes | 66c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Faria | 16c | 71.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.43 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Faria | 45c | 68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.78 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +109.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Marcondes | 34c | 66.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Faria | 50c | 64.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.41 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf303…7ee6backed Faria | 53c | 60.87$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 130 | 66.9%87 W · 43 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Faria | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd402…5a50backed Faria | 66c | 55$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 296 | 61.5%182 W · 114 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Marcondes | 33c | 45.89$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 992 | 55.9%555 W · 437 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a0…2139backed Faria | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Marcondes | 74c | 44$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 134 | 56.7%76 W · 58 L | +9.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfeba…7a91backed Marcondes | 35c | 37.05$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Marcondes | 34c | 35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.97 | 7,183 | 49.7%3,568 W · 3,615 L | +112.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed Faria | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 144 | 75%108 W · 36 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Faria | 64c | 23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Faria | 65c | 22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 556 | 41.2%229 W · 327 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3457…0161backed Marcondes | 72c | 17.46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Faria | 65c | 17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.