CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb85637e48d854cc636740b1e6043418647cc60a7cfe7b78aa1c58f1b5b09a534
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof ex-Zero Tenacity, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,886 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4687…8d42backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 49c | 768.81$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.81 | 529 | 47.1%249 W · 280 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed HAVU | 57c | 613.42$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.2 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 40c | 291.12$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.84 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HAVU | 7c | 287$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HAVU | 46c | 204.69$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.24 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HAVU | 21c | 195.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.94 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d9e…456bbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 65c | 112$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed HAVU | 36c | 98.28$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked HAVU | 34c | 75.88$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed HAVU | 46c | 73.64$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed HAVU | 53c | 52.3$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.57 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 292 | 44.5%130 W · 162 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 34$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 497 | 45.9%228 W · 269 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed HAVU | 39c | 33.25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 807 | 44.6%360 W · 447 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 59c | 25.97$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.59 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 70c | 22.74$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…8eb1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 69c | 21.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed HAVU | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 489 | 48.7%238 W · 251 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 80c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.2 | 274 | 43.1%118 W · 156 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #17 Group Stageex-Zero Tenacity won
- Counter-Strike: ex-Zero Tenacity vs HAVU - Map 2 WinnerHAVU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.