Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8ad8c12b41afaade9dc4d40e97b2890f0f86e286426c36b13f80717a8a4dc45
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,726
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,822
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,726 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 1,543$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.07 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 40c | 1,539$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.74 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked No | 52c | 1,498$779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.85 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 48c | 1,292$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620.34 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 1,132$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.91 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 51c | 366.21$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.78 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 36c | 300.54$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 49c | 199.29$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.38 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 22c | 154.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.07 | 112 | 29.5%33 W · 79 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Yes | 21c | 154.85$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Yes | 53c | 146.05$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.16 | 343 | 58.9%202 W · 141 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 50c | 143.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.27 | 306 | 56.2%172 W · 134 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 50c | 138.08$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.53 | 322 | 59.3%191 W · 131 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 51c | 127.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 409 | 58.9%241 W · 168 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 51c | 127.21$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.33 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 79c | 124.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.25 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Yes | 51c | 122.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 383 | 59.3%227 W · 156 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 51c | 122.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 260 | 60.8%158 W · 102 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 51c | 122.04$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.59 | 133 | 60.2%80 W · 53 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7242…ac6fbacked Yes | 11c | 112.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Yes | 51c | 107.06$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.85 | 108 | 48.1%52 W · 56 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 51c | 101.89$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.12 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…eeb8backed No | 80c | 101.76$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 36 | 75%27 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…13eebacked No | 80c | 98.8$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 214 | 73.4%157 W · 57 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 51c | 98.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Yes | 45c | 74.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.35 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 63.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Yes | 49c | 57.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 256 | 53.1%136 W · 120 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked No | 73c | 49.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.43 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -8.4wins | -0.16per pick | 54cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 36c | 48.36$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 167 | 56.3%94 W · 73 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x278f…5c17backed No | 41c | 47.05$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.76 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 36c | 45.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.72 | 111 | 55.9%62 W · 49 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes | 36c | 43.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 198 | 60.1%119 W · 79 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9720…2c24backed Yes | 27c | 41.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 69c | 41.5$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.96 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes | 34c | 40.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Yes | 34c | 38.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 56c | 37.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 49c | 36.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.76 | 209 | 53.1%111 W · 98 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 48c | 32.4$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.9 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 76c | 32.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.76 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Yes | 54c | 29.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.76 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 52c | 20.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 54 | 64.8%35 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 52c | 20.48$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 218 | 54.1%118 W · 100 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 57c | 20.09$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed No | 79c | 19.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 155 | 68.4%106 W · 49 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Casa Pia AC win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will FC Alverca vs. Casa Pia AC end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Alverca win on 2026-04-12?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.