CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8eb8377625e5541ad0d73494d32f043db4af51b73539e880a1bfd251b0c476d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Favbetof Favbet, Hashiras
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,619
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,619 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Favbet | 75c | 1,499$1,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.64 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Hashiras | 25c | 1,389$349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.46 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Hashiras | 24c | 827.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.42 | 217 | 37.3%81 W · 136 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Favbet | 77c | 726.84$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.33 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Hashiras | 28c | 638.87$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Hashiras | 25c | 631.76$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.17 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Favbet | 75c | 361.75$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hashiras | 21c | 361.56$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.94 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Hashiras | 6c | 208.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…7275backed Hashiras | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 28cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Favbet | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 180 | 63.9%115 W · 65 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…dbfabacked Favbet | 72c | 200$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.5wins | +0.39per pick | 50cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Hashiras | 13c | 195.81$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.24 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Hashiras | 23c | 190.85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Hashiras | 24c | 150$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 540 | 32.4%175 W · 365 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked Hashiras | 27c | 131$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Hashiras | 12c | 119.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8945…640bbacked Hashiras | 23c | 108.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 262 | 57.6%151 W · 111 L | +14.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Hashiras | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca81…f2abbacked Hashiras | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b1…b066backed Hashiras | 19c | 78.95$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked Hashiras | 22c | 77.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.13 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Hashiras | 25c | 67.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.87 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hashiras | 28c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.48 | 317 | 35.6%113 W · 204 L | +10.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Hashiras | 24c | 65.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…a15fbacked Hashiras | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed Favbet | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 410 | 54.6%224 W · 186 L | +29.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x931c…bf4bbacked Favbet | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 323 | 51.4%166 W · 157 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Hashiras | 26c | 43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Favbet | 73c | 42$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Favbet | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 171 | 50.3%86 W · 85 L | -7.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd015…ec20backed Favbet | 77c | 26.1$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.89 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Hashiras (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #18 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Hashiras - Map 1 WinnerFavbet won
- Counter-Strike: Favbet vs Hashiras - Map 2 WinnerFavbet won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.