Premier League · resolved market
Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-05?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb93dcefa5daec569cbea15db45578512cc200413521d1f67c4edf18cc07ccb4a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,954
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,954 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 1,221$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.3 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked No | 59c | 999.98$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.99 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 43c | 693.7$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 291 | 58.4%170 W · 121 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 42c | 592$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.9 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 21c | 513$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8059…c043backed Yes | 43c | 397.27$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 105 | 45.7%48 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 66c | 364.51$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.35 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 57c | 210.88$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.66 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 185.07$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.74 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 122$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.32 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf934…8858backed Yes | 42c | 107.4$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 67c | 103.59$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 41c | 101$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 466 | 51.9%242 W · 224 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 76.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 57c | 72.69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.03 | 316 | 55.1%174 W · 142 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 32c | 58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 282 | 46.1%130 W · 152 L | -12.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0db7…5c06backed Yes | 27c | 57.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 176 | 35.8%63 W · 113 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 41c | 49.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Yes | 41c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.44 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe57…6c33backed Yes | 47c | 32.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 62c | 16.49$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Norwich City FC win on 2025-11-05?this page
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC vs. Norwich City FC end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Sheffield Wednesday FC win on 2025-11-05?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.