Lol · resolved market
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb967f9d8f123a136f6fb6446436a7f7e7092cefce2b386e06834eb6a86403b17
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Berlin International Gamingof Eintracht Frankfurt, Berlin International Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,220
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,154
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,220 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 1c | 3,333$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 377 | 5.6%21 W · 356 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ed…998cbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 23c | 2,010$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x827f…be21backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 23c | 1,510$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf842…2a69backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 23c | 1,100$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf780…fc5bbacked Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 1,100$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b84…394cbacked Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 760$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6143…c27dbacked Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 750$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e82…c75bbacked Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 680$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ee…46adbacked Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 670$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70e6…aab2backed Berlin International Gaming | 77c | 660$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa794…1361backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 23c | 655.21$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.92 | 106 | 24.5%26 W · 80 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 10c | 575.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.81 | 143 | 38.5%55 W · 88 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5709…de0abacked Berlin International Gaming | 80c | 433.13$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe26b…a9ecbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 20c | 324$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 520 | 49.2%256 W · 264 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ea…d07fbacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 40c | 223.33$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 959 | 51.3%492 W · 467 L | +42.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d58…8accbacked Berlin International Gaming | 52c | 222.38$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.03 | 288 | 55.9%161 W · 127 L | -20.1wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c31…dca8backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 48c | 214.58$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.63 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -73%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fb…3e92backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 20c | 190$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d8…e846backed Eintracht Frankfurt | 38c | 157.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked Berlin International Gaming | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 459 | 37%170 W · 289 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Berlin International Gaming | 75c | 107.9$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 390 | 44.9%175 W · 215 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb167…e5f3backed Berlin International Gaming | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xced8…221ebacked Eintracht Frankfurt | 19c | 89.62$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 474 | 44.1%209 W · 265 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff00…74d7backed Berlin International Gaming | 74c | 35.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.07 | 77 | 44.2%34 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6327…97b2backed Berlin International Gaming | 80c | 26.18$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.24 | 129 | 62%80 W · 49 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 68cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…6646backed Berlin International Gaming | 62c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Berlin International Gaming (BO5) - Comedy Central Winter Snowdown Playoffsthis page
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 1 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 2 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
- LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs Berlin International Gaming - Game 3 WinnerBerlin International Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.