Tennis · resolved market
Roland Garros WTA (Doubles): Kempen/Klepac vs Muhammad/Stollar
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9782192c2fcaa3b550e6c933a9d171a0aef21f41419d7f2d42ac6d93ed897c4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kempen/Klepacof Kempen/Klepac, Muhammad/Stollar
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $974
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $978
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $974 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 10 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0a29…836dbacked Muhammad/Stollar | 72c | 340.11$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.88 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Kempen/Klepac | 28c | 232.02$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.05 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Kempen/Klepac | 35c | 188.51$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.92 | 376 | 45.7%172 W · 204 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Muhammad/Stollar | 65c | 155.96$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x433c…81eabacked Kempen/Klepac | 26c | 69.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.53 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +11.3wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Kempen/Klepac | 30c | 36.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.16 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Muhammad/Stollar | 68c | 23.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.98 | 1,065 | 57.4%611 W · 454 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823f…6a20backed Muhammad/Stollar | 69c | 22.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…535abacked Muhammad/Stollar | 67c | 18.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 82 | 69.5%57 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Muhammad/Stollar | 68c | 17$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.56 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.