CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Omega (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb985a200b57605c9d3cb94f9552736253072d506c16f67ac4e5651ae8ecddb6d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MOUZ NXTof MOUZ NXT, Omega
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,160
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,160 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked Omega | 36c | 1,076$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.35 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Omega | 35c | 953.44$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.7 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 804.54$521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.13 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 313.86$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.99 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5976…b3d4backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 290$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 176.56$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 285 | 49.5%141 W · 144 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 149.36$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 141$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 543 | 48.6%264 W · 279 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe93f…6769backed Omega | 37c | 67.39$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…c7b2backed MOUZ NXT | 63c | 38.55$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef6d…b0cdbacked MOUZ NXT | 64c | 36.56$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed MOUZ NXT | 65c | 34.09$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 177 | 58.2%103 W · 74 L | +13.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a41…145fbacked MOUZ NXT | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed MOUZ NXT | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Omega | 36c | 28$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Omega (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs Omega - Map 2 WinnerMOUZ NXT won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs Omega (+1.5)Omega won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.