CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb9917dfbd000060e76c6e0a99d794c7bc967ab13543ccd4c9cf2bdfa8465c817
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- MIBR Academyof Isurus, MIBR Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,520
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,520 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked MIBR Academy | 64c | 981.21$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.29 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Isurus | 35c | 559$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.64 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Isurus | 38c | 509.47$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…0d2abacked MIBR Academy | 63c | 437.93$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.9 | 892 | 48%428 W · 464 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e34…4480backed Isurus | 35c | 355$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 499 | 35.1%175 W · 324 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed MIBR Academy | 65c | 259.95$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.98 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x252b…2497backed MIBR Academy | 64c | 222.47$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.96 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 51cpaid | +85.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xab2a…30edbacked MIBR Academy | 67c | 222.26$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.54 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x414c…80c7backed MIBR Academy | 64c | 199.06$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.66 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed MIBR Academy | 64c | 164.69$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.81 | 500 | 51.4%257 W · 243 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1065…6218backed Isurus | 37c | 162$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.94 | 482 | 40%193 W · 289 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed Isurus | 36c | 160$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.6 | 456 | 45.2%206 W · 250 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Isurus | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR Academy | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee22…7054backed Isurus | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1405…9882backed MIBR Academy | 64c | 97.21$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.31 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4c…6952backed MIBR Academy | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked MIBR Academy | 74c | 75$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Isurus | 36c | 65.66$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6986…3369backed MIBR Academy | 63c | 64.81$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.87 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee16…16a2backed Isurus | 36c | 55.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 297 | 52.2%155 W · 142 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked MIBR Academy | 77c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked MIBR Academy | 64c | 44.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5407…5bbdbacked Isurus | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Isurus | 35c | 38.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 240 | 54.6%131 W · 109 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed MIBR Academy | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed MIBR Academy | 65c | 27.77$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed MIBR Academy | 63c | 26.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed MIBR Academy | 77c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.75 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc263…1e83backed MIBR Academy | 63c | 21.38$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.93 | 347 | 50.7%176 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d8…fd15backed MIBR Academy | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs MIBR Academy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs MIBR Academy (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship South American Series #1 Group AMIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs MIBR Academy - Map 1 WinnerMIBR Academy won
- Counter-Strike: Isurus vs MIBR Academy - Map 2 WinnerMIBR Academy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.