TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Valorant · resolved market

Map Handicap: DRG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
JD Gamingof Dragon Ranger Gaming, JD Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,595
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,856

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,595 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Valorant
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4f16…553dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming36c291.67$105 inLost-$10513455.2%74 W · 60 L+7.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb758…dd73backed JD Gaming65c249.99$162 inWon+$87.525347%119 W · 134 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Dragon Ranger Gaming34c223.68$76 inLost-$76.0533942.2%143 W · 196 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed JD Gaming64c176.34$113 inWon+$63.4863948%307 W · 332 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x615a…8af2backed Dragon Ranger Gaming35c164.6$58 inLost-$57.615052%26 W · 24 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Dragon Ranger Gaming33c125$41 inLost-$40.7552050%260 W · 260 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Dragon Ranger Gaming34c120$41 inLost-$4179650%398 W · 398 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5556…2759backed JD Gaming64c118.1$76 inWon+$42.5263955.6%355 W · 284 L+1.9wins0.00per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x39b2…157cbacked JD Gaming66c115.38$76 inWon+$39.233961.5%24 W · 15 L+3.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+13.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Dragon Ranger Gaming36c107$39 inLost-$38.5855348.3%267 W · 286 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x888d…c45dbacked Dragon Ranger Gaming35c85.71$30 inLost-$308744.8%39 W · 48 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2da3…f258backed JD Gaming63c85$54 inWon+$31.4549455.3%273 W · 221 L+23.5wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed JD Gaming66c51.3$34 inWon+$17.4423745.1%107 W · 130 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6bc1…3f1cbacked JD Gaming66c51.3$34 inWon+$17.4420051.5%103 W · 97 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3308…f04bbacked JD Gaming72c41.74$30 inWon+$11.493253.1%17 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed JD Gaming56c29.25$16 inWon+$12.8739166%258 W · 133 L+24.0wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+7.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.