La Liga · resolved market
Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorer
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba2712043a588e4ff69827263101de93a6853d0a3b99f20e50d67250be460b63
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,066 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 78c | 170.71$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.19 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…47a4backed Yes | 26c | 140$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.18per pick | 47cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 37c | 137.44$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.44 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb581…0308backed No | 63c | 123.3$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb5…9bf1backed No | 58c | 102.02$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.17 | 317 | 45.7%145 W · 172 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 61c | 99.98$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed No | 54c | 86.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.72 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x837d…86dfbacked Yes | 46c | 86.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8510…e41ebacked Yes | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 62c | 61.9$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.6 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5a…5656backed Yes | 39c | 56.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cc…9144backed Yes | 41c | 53.1$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.1 | 61 | 44.3%27 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xace5…f100backed Yes | 40c | 50.5$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +47%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 40c | 50.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.17 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +4.3wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +118.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 62c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 142 | 59.9%85 W · 57 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x395c…4415backed Yes | 40c | 45$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x823d…22ebbacked No | 60c | 45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.05 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -34%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e7…7863backed Yes | 40c | 36.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f1…25f6backed Yes | 39c | 25.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…fb60backed No | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 108 | 51.9%56 W · 52 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vinicius Junior: Anytime Goalscorerthis page
- Alexander Sorloth: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Federico Valverde: Anytime GoalscorerYes won
- Julian Alvarez: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
- Kylian Mbappe: Anytime GoalscorerNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.