Cricket · resolved market
ILT20: Desert Vipers vs MI Emirates (Game 1)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba5f23cfb9e78620ab85189239139120b7946993fa2fd46e1f51c44e31762054
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Desert Vipersof Desert Vipers, MI Emirates
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,576
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked MI Emirates | 48c | 2,263$1,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.83 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Desert Vipers | 44c | 1,552$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.03 | 182 | 57.1%104 W · 78 L | +11.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Desert Vipers | 53c | 1,329$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.57 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed MI Emirates | 72c | 557.31$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.45 | 330 | 42.4%140 W · 190 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd986…1320backed Desert Vipers | 68c | 501.92$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.86 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa69b…7b0cbacked Desert Vipers | 26c | 417.56$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.54 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +20.7wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5b…e7d8backed MI Emirates | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd202…964dbacked MI Emirates | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7c…25eebacked Desert Vipers | 10c | 142.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.58 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 29cpaid | +167.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3d…be34backed MI Emirates | 72c | 137.57$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe28…3c60backed MI Emirates | 42c | 109.15$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.94 | 198 | 43.4%86 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…a49ebacked Desert Vipers | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb29…1b48backed MI Emirates | 61c | 65.56$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Desert Vipers | 40c | 59.13$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 369 | 8.7%32 W · 337 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf929…9c10backed MI Emirates | 69c | 41.37$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75ab…eb07backed Desert Vipers | 43c | 38.57$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed4…3ff6backed MI Emirates | 53c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcac1…8e1dbacked MI Emirates | 68c | 29.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.25 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a7…9215backed MI Emirates | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6885…caafbacked MI Emirates | 72c | 27.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.91 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb082…2c98backed MI Emirates | 56c | 27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e68…1634backed Desert Vipers | 45c | 22.38$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.38 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99a4…d89fbacked Desert Vipers | 55c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.