La Liga · resolved market
Will SD Huesca win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba6a5543eb9a557cf494c28bf7bf2941e3e98941e2d6f23808bc8e91a815af96
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,446
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,446 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 23c | 5,102$1,164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,164.09 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 20c | 3,175$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.23 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 2,544$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…af42backed No | 76c | 900.72$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.17 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 763.72$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.55 | 1,418 | 45.6%646 W · 772 L | -10.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 79c | 637.73$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.23 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59bb…b5f0backed No | 77c | 471.94$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.55 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 72cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 417.48$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.87 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 79c | 416.9$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.27 | 234 | 56.4%132 W · 102 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 24c | 304.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 476 | 53.8%256 W · 220 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 79c | 297.85$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.63 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 12c | 239.81$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.33 | 3,444 | 43%1,482 W · 1,962 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 79c | 216.36$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.74 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 79c | 215.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 239 | 57.7%138 W · 101 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6aa…8882backed Yes | 13c | 215.08$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.96 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 79c | 212.99$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.06 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 79c | 212.43$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.28 | 203 | 60.1%122 W · 81 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bab…50aabacked No | 77c | 184.84$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 65cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 79c | 171.89$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.36 | 91 | 64.8%59 W · 32 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 79c | 165.29$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Yes | 23c | 132.42$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 319 | 52.4%167 W · 152 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 78c | 130.65$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.74 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 78c | 126.54$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 78c | 126.38$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.72 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 80c | 97.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 80c | 97.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 109 | 57.8%63 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked No | 80c | 97.21$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 22c | 92.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 21c | 89.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 635 | 53.1%337 W · 298 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74fd…7537backed No | 77c | 64.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 63cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6687…b9ddbacked No | 78c | 62.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 79c | 62.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 195 | 55.9%109 W · 86 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 79c | 62.58$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.23 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 23c | 59.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2,339 | 48.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf133…4811backed Yes | 23c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed No | 79c | 48.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 35 | 82.9%29 W · 6 L | +8.3wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +64.7%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked No | 77c | 46.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.79 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 77c | 44.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc251…a5d3backed No | 77c | 33.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 77c | 32.01$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 50 | 68%34 W · 16 L | +5.0wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +15%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033b…5e3fbacked No | 78c | 23.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 42 | 69%29 W · 13 L | +4.8wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SD Huesca win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will RC Deportivo La Coruña win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will SD Huesca vs. RC Deportivo La Coruña end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.