NHL · resolved market
KHL: Shanghai Dragons vs. HC Sochi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb1dd1c9ee8843b5c2a62a8f7e298e85b8a4598f937037643c84181dab02388d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Shanghai Dragonsof Shanghai Dragons, HC Sochi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,501
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 18 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked HC Sochi | 36c | 724.93$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.26 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Shanghai Dragons | 64c | 568.79$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.76 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48a9…0d53backed HC Sochi | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.4 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked HC Sochi | 19c | 77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x470e…07c0backed HC Sochi | 38c | 74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fed…0d78backed HC Sochi | 38c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9b…50e0backed Shanghai Dragons | 64c | 55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc5…7b98backed Shanghai Dragons | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd17…77fdbacked Shanghai Dragons | 62c | 40$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked Shanghai Dragons | 62c | 38$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd289…98b5backed Shanghai Dragons | 62c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5ff…db1dbacked Shanghai Dragons | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…e845backed Shanghai Dragons | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07eb…4b4cbacked Shanghai Dragons | 63c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7219…fcf7backed Shanghai Dragons | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe91…4462backed Shanghai Dragons | 62c | 29$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fc…2286backed Shanghai Dragons | 62c | 21$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.98 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfadc…a4e8backed Shanghai Dragons | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.