Serie A · resolved market
Juventus vs. Udinese: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5918a8d70ff77d30d675a9dd9a7fb8fdbf2a9becc400890ad1e852f7c542cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,087
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Under | 49c | 7,887$3,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,864.63 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 51c | 5,860$2,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,872.6 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Over | 51c | 2,276$1,159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.04 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Over | 53c | 1,314$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.83 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Under | 44c | 1,097$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.9 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Under | 46c | 676.23$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.07 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed Over | 67c | 565$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.25 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +103.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 48c | 443.96$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.1 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 125 | 40%50 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0efd…a51cbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +31%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf4…952ebacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.16per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Over | 57c | 168.92$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.52 | 102 | 60.8%62 W · 40 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce12…0e76backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.5 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.22per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x883f…aad2backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Over | 45c | 91.11$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.11 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a5…4540backed Under | 33c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Over | 49c | 38.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Over | 49c | 29.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…2eddbacked Under | 53c | 23.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Over | 49c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.7 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe19…3c19backed Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9e4…3fd9backed Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Juventus vs. Udinese: O/U 2.5this page
- Juventus vs. Udinese: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Spread: Juventus (-1.5)Juventus won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.