Serie A · resolved market
Spread: Juventus (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84b154cbc3e20cd7d16788ae3cf114660efb7b1c29feec00d8b4ca429c295a3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Juventusof Juventus, Udinese
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,245
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,704
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,245 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3102…187cbacked Udinese | 57c | 8,750$4,987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,987.5 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Juventus | 43c | 5,243$2,251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.83 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…8fa9backed Juventus | 43c | 3,400$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Juventus | 42c | 2,894$1,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,678.44 | 118 | 48.3%57 W · 61 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Juventus | 42c | 459.15$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.41 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Juventus | 42c | 249.99$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Udinese | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Juventus | 29c | 170$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Juventus | 41c | 138.19$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.95 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Juventus | 44c | 90.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.42 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…feaebacked Juventus | 39c | 64.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.05 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x390c…75b5backed Udinese | 52c | 57.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd00d…ce28backed Udinese | 59c | 57.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf672…c3c4backed Udinese | 62c | 48.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1677…1126backed Juventus | 41c | 42.86$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.29 | 124 | 52.4%65 W · 59 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d8…abccbacked Juventus | 43c | 37.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.22 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc60…db97backed Juventus | 43c | 24.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Udinese | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e1…4f54backed Udinese | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 70cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ea…2eddbacked Udinese | 62c | 19.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…f4f4backed Udinese | 62c | 18.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Juventus (-1.5)this page
- Juventus vs. Udinese: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Juventus vs. Udinese: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.