Lol · resolved market
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs Galions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbb5e1d5c99a566c1d2e704dd53c7372773afef24a9f4da12bbad963bea533cce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Partizan Sangalof Partizan Sangal, Galions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,176
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,885
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,176 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked Galions | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 126 | 44.4%56 W · 70 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Galions | 80c | 927$742 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741.6 | 132 | 59.1%78 W · 54 L | +10.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Partizan Sangal | 63c | 854.2$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.63 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Partizan Sangal | 20c | 579.01$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.39 | 142 | 36.6%52 W · 90 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x581d…2b06backed Partizan Sangal | 22c | 500$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 480 | 35.4%170 W · 310 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb852…bfaebacked Galions | 79c | 481.18$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.09 | 109 | 34.9%38 W · 71 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Galions | 76c | 200$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 3,584 | 40.1%1,437 W · 2,147 L | +31.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Partizan Sangal | 21c | 150$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.5 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Galions | 37c | 148.6$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.28 | 183 | 40.4%74 W · 109 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Partizan Sangal | 58c | 123.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Partizan Sangal | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 318 | 29.2%93 W · 225 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Partizan Sangal | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.18 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed Galions | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…f94ebacked Galions | 78c | 32.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 67cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Galions | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80f9…3ab9backed Partizan Sangal | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 211 | 46%97 W · 114 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.